Useful Pretexts
With Trump’s inauguration, policy in Syria had
begun to take a different direction.
After having failed at regime-change, with the
insurgency badly defeated, on the defensive, and fighting
amongst themselves, it appeared the rebels’ sponsors had realized the futility
of their efforts and started to
discontinue their support.
The Trump administration also reportedly
ended the CIA’s train-and-equip program. This represents a long-standing
feud between the Pentagon and the CIA. The Pentagon had vehemently opposed
the CIA’s rebel program under grounds that it was empowering radical extremists
which would eventually turn their guns towards Americans, and if successful
would turn Syria into country of chaos ruled by warring factions of jihadists,
similar to Libya.
However, the sectors of power that Obama
represented largely centered around the financial institutions and the
intelligence apparatus, and therefore the CIA won the tug-of-war and the rebel
program continued. Under Trump, the program was ended and the CIA’s control
over foreign policy was
diminished, while the generals and military officials were largely granted
discretion to conduct overseas operations with little oversight from the
chief executive. The interests therefore steering foreign policy are largely
those of the weapons and defense contractors, and the profit-incentives of the
military industrial base as a whole.
Given this, instead of covertly funneling aid to
al-Qaeda, Trump began increasing the coalitions’ bombing of the group, and
adopted a different regional strategy. This increased bombing only materialized
however after al-Qaeda had been routed on
the battlefield.
Nevertheless, the
strategy became one of overt military occupation and
a partitioning of Syrian territory.
The
purpose of the US-led “anti-ISIS” campaign had up to this point been to
project the image that the US was fighting the group while simultaneously
allowing them to prosper and militarily bleed out Iran and Russia. In this way,
the presence of ISIS was redirected into a useful pretext which legitimized an
illegal military presence in Syria which otherwise would not have been
possible. As well, the universally despised attitude toward ISIS could conveniently
be transformed into a mandate for annexing and occupying Syrian territory. The
strategy could shift from “Assad must go” to “defeating ISIS.”
Signaling this shift, the Trump administration had
announced
that it “accepts” the “political reality… with respect to Assad,” and that
“foremost among its priorities” from here on out would be “the defeat of ISIS.”
Concurrent with this was an agreement reached
between Trump and the Saudi king after their meeting in mid-March, where it was
decided that the Gulf would re-open supply channels to their proxies and occupy
Russia on the battlefield therefore allowing the US to concentrate on dividing
northern Syria and establishing their occupation.
Within this environment, it
appeared that some kind of negotiated settlement might have been able to
materialize, wherein Russia would agree to the US annexation in return for some
other concessions. Powerful factions within the US were vehemently opposed to
this however and were determined to reverse it.
The chemical weapons incident in Khan Sheikhoun effectively
accomplished that and upended all of the previous hopes for a settlement.
After the horrendous attack, killing upwards of 70
people, procedures were underway for a thorough UN investigation to determine
culpability. Without having completed that process, and without any
evidence presented, the Trump administration launched a barrage of cruise
missiles and attacked a Syrian military installation which was being
used to fight ISIS. The timing of the attack prevented the investigation from
going forward.
This was a clear violation
of international law and a blatant act of aggression against another state. According
to the Nuremburg Tribunals, an unjustified act of aggression represents the
“supreme international crime,” high above all the others. The pain and
suffering of the victims was cynically exploited as a pretext for such an
aggression, unsurprisingly to the high moral acclaim of Western officials and
media personalities. The attack, hailed as a “beautiful”
display of our weapons, which revealed the “heart”
and compassion of President Trump, reportedly murdered half a dozen
Syrian soldiers, as well as four
children.
Who cares? It was our moral duty to punish Assad
for killing children, by killing other children, albeit the justified and morally
honorable way, with US bombs.
Even more egregious, the attack was almost
certainly carried out by the rebels, dominated by al-Qaeda and a rabble of
other sectarian extremists. Washington would have you believe that Assad, having
given up all of this chemical weapons in 2013 and barely escaping a Libya-style
overthrow, after now having devastated the rebels on the battlefield, securing
his greatest military advantage out of the entire conflict, would on the eve of
important international congregations aimed at ending the war and directly
after those aggressing upon him had declared their acceptance of him staying in
power, launch a militarily insignificant attack with the kind of weapons that
are literally the one thing that could endanger his rule and lead to a US
invasion, all to kill civilians and a relatively insignificant amount of fighters
which was even lower than the amount normally killed using conventional
weapons. Assad may be a brutal autocrat, but he has never displayed any signs
of being
insane.
The opposition, however, has everything to gain
from this. Desperate, staring at defeat, a reduction in supplies, and a US
administration abandoning it’s former “Assad must go” policy, the last recourse
they had was for a “red-line” to be crossed which could justify a US invasion. It
having been widely
reported
that they, in fact, have access
to chemical weapons and have utilized them
in the past.
Not surprisingly then, the US intelligence
community largely holds the Russian explanation, that Assad’s forces bombed
a rebel storage facility containing chemical weapons, to
be true, and the official US line to be false, sources
from the CIA stating that it was their belief that “Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad was likely not responsible for the lethal poison-gas incident in
northern Syria.” One
intelligence source said “the most likely scenario” was “a staged event by
the rebels intended to force Trump to reverse a policy… that the U.S.
government would no longer seek ‘regime change’ in Syria.”
War is a Racket
In the aftermath of the attack, it has become
apparent that the entire motivation behind the Democratic Party’s antagonism
towards Trump, along with the CIA, the neocons, and the rest of the liberal
interventionists, had absolutely nothing to do with opposition towards Trump’s racism,
xenophobia, attacks against civil rights, or even any connection with Putin,
the accusations of course lacking any foundation in evidence. Instead, these were
pretexts used to wage an all-out campaign of manipulation with a single goal in
mind: pressuring him to continue carrying out the previous administrations’
strategy of overthrowing the Syrian government and maintaining a war-footing
against Russia.
This is why the liberal resentment was solely
focused on undermining the one aspect of his platform which
was actually worth pursuing, cooperation with Russia and a détente of the
increasingly dangerous confrontation that had been festering between the two
nuclear powers. By portraying Trump as nothing more than a spy for Putin, the
liberal establishment was able to guarantee that business-as-usual against Russia
would be resumed, under threat that their efforts would be directed toward undermining
the Presidency if it did not.
Explaining
the situation, the Wall Street
Journal reported that “in Washington, probes by the Federal Bureau of
Investigation and Congress into possible connections between Mr. Trump’s
associates and Russia have restricted the new administration’s ability to cut
deals seen as conciliatory to the Kremlin in the near term without provoking an
outcry from both Democrats and Republicans on Capitol Hill.”
Exposing this antagonism for the opportunistic
warmongering that it was, following Trump’s attack, in reality a war-crime
for which Trump should be impeached and tried, all of his most forceful opponents
of only a few days prior are now simply fawning in praise at their “great
commander-in-chief.” The pressure has effectively been called off, though Trump
will realize why that is and will remember again in the future when it is reapplied.
After having found such an effective mechanism for insuring that the proper course
is maintained, it will continue to be utilized.
In addition to having mitigated domestic opposition,
the attack will likely remedy the problem of Trump’s
approval ratings, which were below that of any comparable president. Nothing
more effectively rallies a country around their leader like a war. In this
sense, being a celebrity personality who’s foremost concerns are seemingly how
others view him, the incident was largely
orchestrated around boosting the president’s national image. Trump will now
be seen as the “strong” leader who attacked the evil Assad and wasn’t afraid of
Russian threats, while Obama was the “weak” president who wouldn’t do the same
even without Russia protecting him. It appears
that such a reckless attack was largely the result of one man’s ego.
However, it also represented the increased power
and influence of the military, Trump having vowed to listen to his generals in
the same way that Obama did not. When it comes to military officials, every
solution resembles a nail, and are “solved” through military means such as missile
strikes. As well, the power of the military industrial base to secure
profit-making interests through state policy was also on display. Most notably
the defense contractor Raytheon, who manufactures the missiles that were used
in the attack, and thereby stands to gain when the government resupplies its
arsenal. Their stock also instantly
surged following the incident, adding nearly five billion dollars to its overall
market value. Even more to the point are the
reports which suggest that Trump still
holds shares in Raytheon, and therefore will directly profit from this and
from similar decisions in the future. Oil stocks
as well have precipitously
increased.
History, it seems, is repeating itself, with Smedley
Butler’s classic “War
is a Racket” coming to mind.
The attack also is related to the Trump
administrations’ strong ties with Israel and the AIPAC lobby. Shortly before
the chemical incident took place, Israeli jets had interfered on the side of
the Islamic State and targeted
Syrian army positions. Syria shot
at the jets violating their airspace and forced them to retreat. The same airbase
that Trump attacked was the one from which the Israeli jets were targeted,
Trump giving his friend Bibi a
gift in the form of retribution.
In a similar vein, the order was given during
Trump’s dinner with the President of China, and comes with a message in mind.
The message is that “my threats aren’t hollow,” and carry force behind them, referring
to recent bellicose statements directed towards China if it refuses to “solve”
the situation in North Korea. This, unsurprisingly, has only further
encouraged North Korea and others to continue acquiring nuclear
capabilities to deter against American aggression. This is what the North
Korean’s nuclear program is
all about after all, at least according to US
military intelligence.
Nevertheless, Trump now has immense incentives to
continue pursuing confrontation with Russia and Syria.
For what it was worth though, the actual attack
represents a small-scale and largely symbolic accomplishment. It did not
greatly damage Syria’s military capabilities, the airbase reportedly already being
back in operation. It does, however, carry with it extraordinarily dangerous
and potentially unforeseeable consequences.
A Lifeline for the Jihadists
The situation in Syria was already extremely
precarious. For the first time in the modern period fighter jets of two nuclear
powers were circling each other within the bounds of a single state in defense of
opposing ground-forces; one false move could’ve potentially sparked a WWIII
scenario. Trump’s careless actions have only further hurdled the world towards
possible catastrophe, further strengthening the opinion of the world’s
population that the United States is by far the
greatest threat to world peace, with constantly-invoked official
adversaries trailing far behind.
Directly after the attack, Russia severed the
communication channels between itself and the US military. The agreed upon
“deconfliction” precautions have been abandoned while the memorandum
of understanding used to prevent military confrontations and air accidents has been tabled. US jets are now
operating in Syria under constant threat of being targeted by the Russian air
force and the Syrian army. Given this, former members of the US-led coalition
have suspended
their involvement and evacuated their aircraft, saying it is no longer safe
to remain. Others are likely to follow. One false move could bring us to the
brink of a cataclysmic confrontation. Wasn’t this decision just wonderful?
On top of all this, the maneuver has greatly
damaged Russia’s credibility. The US effectively called the Russian narrative a
lie and exposed Putin’s “protection” of his allies to be hollow. The Russian
military has been discredited and their already strained relations with Syria
and Iran have only further been maligned. Unsurprisingly the Russian’s are
furious.
Importantly however, it seems likely that some
kind of an agreement was reached when the US notified
the Russians and warned them of the attack. Important military equipment
and personnel were evacuated from the site. The question however is what
concession Russia received in return for allowing Trump to save-face after his
“red line” comments and what will be the Russian response. Already a
Russian warship is steaming toward the Mediterranean while further steps are
being taken to increase Syria’s air defenses.
The other direct consequence was the strengthening
of ISIS and al-Qaeda, who unsurprisingly exploited the attack to launch their
own offenses. The military installation that was hit was a main base from which
attacks
against ISIS were carried out. It was instrumental in keeping nearby ISIS
militants at bay and protected the surrounding inhabitants from ISIS attacks.
Following the incident residents
say they now fear an assault, stating that “women and children have already
started to leave Shayrat to go to Homs city. We’re not afraid of airstrikes.
Our fear is the [ISIS] attack from the east.” For the residents, all these
airstrikes amount to is “proof that the U.S. helps Daesh.” Perhaps this is what
the New York Times meant when they
said “It was hard not to feel some sense of emotional satisfaction, and
justice done, when American cruise missiles struck an airfield in Syria on
Thursday.”
All of the most reactionary
forces
on the
ground praised and welcomed the strikes, and its main
beneficiaries were ISIS and al-Qaeda. How glorious.
Furthermore, the implicit message that Trump has
sent to the jihadists is that the international media and the US administration
will not attempt to deliberate over evidence and demonstrate factual
culpability, but instead will automatically blame Assad for any chemical
weapons attacks. This effectively gives them a mechanism by which to call in US
airstrikes should they ever need to improve their battlefield positions or gain
the support of foreign intervention. Far from deterring dangerous weapon use,
this provides an
overwhelming incentive for chemical weapons to continue to be deployed,
especially in terms of the Gulf monarchies should they ever need to redirect
Trump towards an explicit “Assad must go” policy.
Leaked memos from Saudi
Arabia say that Assad must be overthrown at all costs, because if he is not then
Syria’s primary goal will be “taking revenge on the countries that stood
against it, with the Kingdom… coming at the top of the list,” which represents
“a high degree of danger for the Kingdom.” The Saudi rulers make clear their
view that the main stumbling block in the way of achieving this is the “lack of
‘desire’ and not a lack of ‘capability’… to take firm steps” on the part of the
United States, and therefore they “must seek by all means available and all
possible ways to overthrow the current regime in Syria.” (emphasis added)
Isn’t it wonderful how we taught Assad a lesson?
Given all of this, the pressures leading towards
war and destruction will continue, as will the strategy of occupying northern
Syria while denying the Syrian government from controlling the totality of its
former territories. Rebel jihadi supply lines through Turkey will continue
fueling the conflict, and with it the innocent deaths, while the money and
weapons from the Gulf will continue to be forthcoming in an attempt to sink
Russia down into the Syrian quagmire. This course of action, based on
motivations of regional dominance, will continue to be the
largest stumbling block towards peace that will further prolong the already
6-year long conflict.
Obstacles to Peace
Russia still has a fresh memory of the debacle in
Afghanistan during the 1980s and desperately fears another repeat in Syria,
especially given the newfound influence they have now been able to establish
with the buildup of their military presence around the Mediterranean. The
conflict in Syria provided them the opportunity to accomplish this. It is therefore
within
their interests for a quick political settlement to be reached and for a
termination of the conflict, along with a cleanup of the Russian-nationals
fighting in the ranks of the jihadists, and to further consolidate and exploit
its newfound position as an influencer in regional Middle Eastern affairs. This
comes into stark conflict with their Iranian and Syrian partners who are urging
Russia to continue the offensive and reclaim the totality of Syrian territory.
Because of this, Russia would likely be willing to
exert the pressure necessary to force its allies to accept a settlement which includes
extraordinary concessions. For this reason too, Russia will likely acquiesce to
the US-backed balkanization effort in some form in order to freeze the
conflict.
At the same time, the Americans and Europeans desperately
want to see Russia get bogged down in another Afghanistan scenario, not the
least of which because Russia was instrumental in preventing their
regime-change efforts. It is for this reason that the US and the EU do not have
a coherent plan to end the conflict, but do have a
strategy of partitioning Syrian territory which will likely result in an
all-out corporate resource-grab afterwards, allowing Western investors access
to exploit the area and obtain the rebuilding contracts that will then be
signed. This being paramount in their calculations, the reactionary al-Qaeda
forces on the ground again become a useful asset rather than an enemy to be
destroyed, while the ISIS pretext justifies the annexations.
Following the completion of partition, the
strategy will shift directly back toward regime-change, only with newly
acquired territories and levers of pressure from which to exert such demands.
The eventual goal is a complete eviction of Russia from the Mediterranean and
from its ability to frustrate Western ambitions for regional hegemony.
Fueling this is the imbedded and institutional
nature of an American policy of regime change toward all non-compliant states,
euphemistically referred to as the “axis of evil.” These policies are not at
all related to the changing personalities which happen to occupy the White
House from time to time. This is because government policy is representative of
the very narrow class interests of those who dominate the socio-economic
hierarchy. That is, the dominant plutocracy made up of the individuals and
interests who own the private economy and enjoy control over vast consolidations
of wealth and resources. It is from this dominant business-class that the top
level positions within the executive are filled, and from these interests that
policy is crafted and legislated. This has been shown in prominent
political science studies which explain “economic elites and organized groups
representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on U.S.
government policy, while mass-based interest groups and average citizens have
little or no independent influence.” Or, in other words, “the preferences of
the average American appear to have only a minuscule, near-zero, statistically
non-significant impact upon public policy,” while decision-making is confined
almost exclusively to the top 1%.
This is why prominent
political analysts have concluded
since the 1950s that “at every level of the administration of the American
state, domestically and internationally, business serves as the fount of
critical assumptions or goals and strategically placed personnel.” Policy
therefore stemming from “the most powerful class interests” which inform the
“nature and objectives of American power at home and abroad.” It is the
“ideology and the interest and
material power of the physical resources of the ruling class of American
capitalism” which determine courses of action, “the latter [the material power
of their physical resources] being sufficient should consensus break down.”
This “economic ruling elite” being “the final arbiter and beneficiary of the
existing structure of American… politics and of United States power in the
world.”
This the reason why US policy towards Syria has
remained consistent for nearly a century. The CIA has been attempting, since
its inception, to overthrow the Syrian government since the middle
of the 20th century, through countless administrations and countless
fluctuations between Democrats and Republicans. The core policy remains the
same, so it should be no wonder that the current incumbent would
opportunistically seize upon an opportunity to attack the Syrian state. These
actions cannot solely be laid at the feat of the liberals nor domestic
political concerns.
Instead, the overthrow of non-compliant regimes is
a staple of US policy because doing so secures the economic and material
interests of the dominant ruling class within America. It is within their
interests for governments to allow their economies to be penetrated by Western
corporations seeking to exploit their markets, and to denationalize state
assets and coveted resources for the exploitation of foreign investors.
Furthermore, these interests are further secured through regional support for
US military aggression and occupations. This is why so much emphasis was put
upon securing
control over Iraqi oil and the establishment of US military bases in Iraq,
and why similar aggressions are not pursued against client states which comply
with these developments. Syria, although it began to allow Western economic
penetration, has on the whole frustrated attempts for greater access. In
addition, Syria has opposed US military aggression in the region, such as their
attempts to
undermine the occupation of Iraq.
The Logic of Imperialism
The other major issue is the
pipeline war between the
US and Russia over the
natural gas field which
bisects Iranian and Qatari territory, the largest in the world. Qatar’s
attempts to connect their holdings directly to European markets was denied by
Assad, while an Iranian and Russian-backed pipeline was put into motion. It is
only after the ball began rolling on the Russian-Iranian-Syria pipeline that
the insurgency was fostered against Assad.
This is why Trump has used this opportunity to
further aggress upon the Syrian state, now writing up a
new batch of sanctions to apply under the pretext of chemical weapons use. The
sanctions, after all, are an economic siege against the entirety of the
country, and are fueling much of the suffering and the fleeing of refugees.
These new ones will continue a tactic of brutalization of the civilian
population with little effect against the government, the strategy being to force
massive economic suffering as a means to pressure the current regime. This is
also why the US again is
demanding Assad’s ouster, saying “There's not any sort of option where a
political solution is going to happen with Assad at the head of the regime.”
As self-righteous pundits, officials, and
intellectuals who should know better wax poetically and bask in their own self-righteousness
over how moral and justified this immoral act of aggression was, it is not hard
to see why the world considers the US the leading threat to peace and a leading
terrorist rogue state.
The US and its clients, who
have all
hailed Trump’s belligerent attacks on moralistic grounds, are the only
states rampaging through the region attacking countries at will while
destroying any that stand in their way. The US now, and the British before
them, have consistently opposed and overthrown any truly progressive,
democratic, and secular movement or government that has emerged in the Middle
East while at the same time propping up the forces of extremist-Islam and fueling
the spread of violent jihadism throughout the region. This is because the US
has, since the 1950s, pursued an agenda of global domination and has insisted
on securing its ambitions through tyranny and oppression.
Imagine, for an instance, that Syria manufactured
a false claim and said the US military used chemical weapons against them, and
used that pretext to launch a cruise missile assault on an American base in
American territory, murdering the innocent civilians living nearby, including
four children. Now imagine that on top of that, the officials and intellectuals
from Syria didn’t apologize, but instead hailed the intolerable injustice as
being a display of “justice
done,” something that was “beautiful,”
which elicited a “sense of emotional satisfaction” and was righteous and good, showing
how heartfelt
and compassionate they are.
How malicious and sociopathic would we view those
officials?
Yet we all carry on, blind and drunk off the
desire to dominate and control.
The logic of imperialism, is truly wondrous to behold.
Also published on Global Research: http://www.globalresearch.ca/trumps-beautiful-airstrike/5584445
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